Each week, Al Attiyah Foundation publishes its energy market review, bringing you the latest global news from the oil, gas and petrochemicals sector.
Oil Markets: Oil Extends Losses as Texas Prepares to Ramp Up Output After Freeze
Oil prices fell for a second day on Friday 19 February, retreating further from recent highs, as Texas energy companies began preparations to restart oil and gas fields closed by freezing weather and power outages. Brent crude futures ended the session down USD1.02, or 1.6%, at USD62.91 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell USD1.28, or 2.1%, to settle at USD59.24. For the week, Brent gained about 0.5% while WTI fell about 0.7%.
Last week, both benchmarks had climbed to the highest in more than a year. In Texas and the southern states, frigid weather curtailed up to four mn bpd of crude production, analysts estimated. Texas refiners halted about a fifth of the nation’s oil processing amid power outages and severe cold. Companies were expected to prepare for production restarts on Friday as electric power and water services slowly resume, sources said. Furthermore, US energy firms this week cut the number of oil rigs operating for the first time since November, according to Baker Hughes data.
US crude oil stockpiles fell sharply to their lowest since March as exports jumped in the week before a cold snap hit major energy-producing areas of the US, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Thursday. According to the EIA, inventories fell 7.3 mn barrels to 461.8 mn barrels, their lowest since March.
On Thursday, the US said it was ready to talk to Iran about returning to a 2015 agreement that aimed to prevent Tehran from acquiring nuclear weapons. Still, analysts did not expect a near-term reversal of sanctions on Iran that the previous US administration imposed.
Gas Markets: LNG-Asian Prices Slip While US Natural Gas Futures Mark Fourth Weekly Gain
Asian LNG prices slipped last week. The fall was limited by potential supply disruptions from the US, where a deep freeze prompted energy outages in Texas, with natural gas wells and pipelines frozen shut. The average LNG price for April delivery into Northeast Asia was estimated at USD6.40 per mn British thermal units (mmBtu), down about 20 cents from the previous week, sources said. Prices for cargoes delivered in March were estimated at USD6.90 per mmBtu, steady from the previous week.
US natural gas futures eased on Friday as forecasts showed weather turning less cold. However, prices registered a fourth consecutive week of gains on concerns over tight supplies after the Arctic freeze disrupted oil and gas facilities. The restart of production as temperatures eased sent prices of oil and natural gas lower. Front-month gas futures fell 1.3 cents, or 0.4%, to settle at USD3.07 per mmBtu. Prices have gained 5.4% for the week.
One trader estimated that about two to three cargoes bound for Asia could be disrupted, though this could not immediately be confirmed. Still, the impact is expected to be minimal as operations resume. According to Kpler, the data and analytics platform, at least one LNG tanker has berthed at Sabine Pass while two more ships have diverted from Corpus Christi towards Sabine Pass. Since Monday, only three LNG cargoes were loaded from US ports for export, ship-tracking data from Refinitiv Eikon and Kpler showed. The US is the world’s third-largest LNG exporter and typically loads about two cargoes a day, traders said.
In tenders, Qatar Petroleum Trading placed the lowest offer for a cargo sought by Pakistan LNG for delivery 9 – 10 April at a slope rate of 10% against Brent crude oil. India’s Reliance likely bought a cargo for delivery over 28 February to 2 March at USD6.20 to USD6.30 per mmBtu, while Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation Ltd Group bought a cargo for delivery over 7 March to 9 at USD6.25 to USD6.30 per mmBtu, industry sources said.
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